Bushehr plant managed to survive the earthquake of magnitude 6.3 few days ago (Quake Hits Southwest Iran, Killing 37; Radio Free Europe; 9 April, 2013)
Opinions and analyses on US and global security presented by H. Ross Kawamura: a foreign policy commentator; an advocate for liberal interventionism and robust defense policy; a watchful guardian of a world order led by the USA, Europe, and Japan.
Monday, April 15, 2013
A Map of Iran’s Nuclear Facilities
While the world pays close attention to
North Korean missiles, Iran test fired missiles to threaten Israel ("Iran test-fires three new missile types"; Times of Israel; April 13, 2013). Now, see
the map below to know where Iran’s nuclear facilities are.
Sunday, April 07, 2013
Japan Needs US Ambassador of Military Veteran, not Caroline Kennedy
It seems that the Obama administration’s appointment of Caroline Kennedy is
taken favorably among the public on both sides of the Pacific. As shown in the
following video, of CBS News on April 2, the family name of Kennedy nurtures
charismatic romanticism which is associated with the tragic legend of an
idealist president John F. Kennedy. On this program, historian Robert Dallek commented that
the Ambassador Kennedy would represent the best of American culture.
However, in view of growing security challenges of China and North Korea, and complexity of Okinawa US base issues, some opinion leaders prefer much more professional ambassador to Tokyo. Remember that the Ambassador to Japan represents America’s strategic interests beyond Japan. No other places in the world are so ideally located than the Japanese archipelago to watch security challenges from Hawaii to the Indian Ocean. Former Deputy Secretary of State Richard Armitage is right to emphasize such strategic value repeatedly. Newly appointed ambassador must be well aware of this.
The next ambassador must speak softly, and carry a big stick
Jun Okumura, Senior Analyst at the Eurasia Group, mentions furthermore, “In this age of rapid communications, the real decisions are made at home anyway,” and “The ambassadors are largely symbols these days. What it does say is that there are no major problems in the Japan-US relationship; it’s still a safe appointment, like to Britain or France” (“Why CarolineKennedy is likely to get a warm welcome in Japan”; Christian Science Monitor;April 2, 2013). Certainly, American presidents appointed political fundraisers to the ambassadors to Britain in reward of contribution to their election victory, as typically seen in the case of Joseph Kennedy.
However, in view of growing security challenges of China and North Korea, and complexity of Okinawa US base issues, some opinion leaders prefer much more professional ambassador to Tokyo. Remember that the Ambassador to Japan represents America’s strategic interests beyond Japan. No other places in the world are so ideally located than the Japanese archipelago to watch security challenges from Hawaii to the Indian Ocean. Former Deputy Secretary of State Richard Armitage is right to emphasize such strategic value repeatedly. Newly appointed ambassador must be well aware of this.
Despite Kennedy’s popularity, some concerns
are raised as she has no experience in diplomacy and public administration. Republican
member of the House Foregin relations Committee Dana Rohrabackher says, “It thought it was an April Fool’s joke
when I first heard about it, Our economic and national security are based on
good will toward Japan. I have nothing against Caroline Kennedy becoming
ambassador to, say, Barbados. But Japan is too important for somebody with no
experience” (“Kennedy asJapan ambassador raises concerns amid N. Korea tensions”; FOX News;April 3, 2013). Even Clyde Prestowitz, President of the Economic Strategy
Institute, who supported Obama in presidential elections, comments this critically. Compared
with past ambassadors, Caroline Kennedy is no political heavy weight, and has
little knowledge and experience in diplomacy and foreign affairs. Also, he says
that she knows too little about Japanese culture and language (“Caroline Kennedy's appointment is not very Kennedyesque”; Foreign Policy--Clyde Prestowitz; April 2, 2013).
I agree to most of the above criticism, in view
of Japan’s mistake to appoint Uichiro Niwa, former chairman of a Japanese
general trading company Itochu Corporation, to the ambassador to China. But I
do not think familiarity with Japanese language and culture so important as
Prestowitz says, because current Japanese speak English more fluently and know American
culture much more than those in the Edwin Reischauer days. Rather, we have
focus on knowledge in security and skills in diplomacy and administration,
particularly crisis management. From this point of view, I would argue that the
next ambassador to Tokyo be selected from military veterans. Among military veterans, there are so many
good candidates who inspire awe and respect to America, from Hawaii to the
Indian Ocean.
The armed forces are landmines of good
candidates, such as Admiral Michael Mullen, General David Petraeus, General Raymond
Odierno, and so forth. If knowledge in Japanese affairs matters, then, Richard
Armitage will be on the top list. Even among those who are unknown to the
public, many generals and admirals are well qualified to outstare any security
challenges rising in the Pacific and the Indian Oceans from Tokyo. Unknown man
can become famous instantly, when he accomplishes great achievement. There is
no reason to give special preferences for a celebrity. Since current US defense
capabilities are shrinking due to budget cut and sequestration, such loss needs
to be compensated with knowledge, skills, and personality of politicians and diplomats. Let me show a good
example. People see current Russia much greater power than it actually is, and that owes to strenuous image of a KGB veteran Vladimir Putin. A US ambassador to
Japan must be a John Wayne to demonstrate American prestige and strength, in
order to overcome global and domestic difficulties. This is why I believe
military veterans are more preferable to Caroline Kennedy for the ambassador to
Japan.
The next ambassador must speak softly, and carry a big stick
Whoever comes to Tokyo, the Japanese side
is not in a position to call new ambassador persona non grata, unless he or
she is seriously problematic to assume the mission. However, I believe it necessary
to reconsider Kennedy’s job credentials on both sides of the Pacific. Some opinion
leaders say being a woman is an advantage to deepen bilateral friendship, but
gender equality is no priority issue between Japan and the United States today. Nor,
do I believe that a princess of hereditary power represents the best of
American culture. It is globally understood that a person who really represent
the best of American culture and image is a man of man as typically portrayed by
John Wayne. In other words, Tokyo needs a US ambassador who speaks softly while
carrying a big stick. Remember that South Korea sends Lee Byung Kee, foreign policy advisor to President
Park Guen Hye. Whose interest is it, if US ambassador is eclipsed by such
brilliant diplomats from all over the world? For vital interests of Japan and
the United States, the selection of the ambassador must be reconsidered.
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